How DCRI v1 ranks all 50 US states on the raw operating environment for hyperscale data center deployment — power, grid reliability, interconnection, climate risk, water, workforce, economy, and permitting.
Summary
A composite ranking of US states on eight dimensions of the raw operating environment for new hyperscale and AI-focused data center development. DCRI measures friction — the inherent quality of power, water, climate, labor, economics, interconnection, grid reliability, and permitting — not existing market footprint.
How it works
The Data Center Readiness Index (DCRI) v1 ranks all 50 US states plus the District of Columbia on their suitability for large-scale data center deployment. It aggregates publicly available federal and third-party data across eight dimensions to give hyperscaler site-selection teams, infrastructure investors, policy analysts, and journalists a defensible, reproducible basis for comparing states.
DCRI ranks states on dimensional readiness — not on existing market presence or engineered-solution offsets. A state’s rank reflects raw operating-environment quality, not its current campus footprint. Three of the most active US data-center markets — California, New Jersey, and Nevada — rank in the lower half of the v1 composite. They are not low-ranked because the index is wrong about them. They are low-ranked because the underlying operating environment in each is materially harder than in the high-ranked states, and operators who build there do so by buying their way around those constraints: long-term water contracts, custom interconnection deals, dry-cooled or closed-loop facility designs, premium real estate, premium labor.
The most useful reading of DCRI is as a complement to existing-market data: a high-ranked state is one where a new build faces less friction; an existing major market that ranks low is a place where capital has accumulated despite friction, typically through engineered solutions and incumbency effects that a new entrant would not start with.
Indicators
Energy Supply
Heaviest weightInstalled capacity (MW), operable and proposed generators, the 2029 capacity forecast horizon, and industrial retail electricity prices. Sources: EPA eGRID 2023, EIA-860, NREL ReEDS 2024, EIA Retail API.
Grid Reliability
In progress for v1.xOutage frequency (SAIFI), duration (SAIDI, CAIDI) with and without Major Event Days, and extreme-weather performance. Source: EIA-861. Not contributing to v1 scoring while the column reparse and NOAA Storm Events load are completed.
Interconnection Speed
Standard weightQueue depth as a share of capacity, withdrawal rate, and active project count — how quickly new large loads can connect to the grid. Source: LBNL Queued Up (through 2024).
Natural Disaster Risk
Standard weightMulti-peril exposure (storms, floods, wildfire, seismic, and 14 other hazard types) measured by FEMA’s National Risk Index composite. Expressed as population-weighted expected annual loss per capita. Renamed in v1 from Climate & Hazard Risk; data and methodology unchanged. Source: FEMA NRI v1.20 (Dec 2025).
Water Supply
Reduced weight in v1Chronic drought exposure (share of state area in D2+ drought, two-year rolling average) as a proxy for whether the water environment can support evaporative cooling at hyperscale. Refocused in v1 from a two-indicator drought + flood construct to drought-only; flood is now captured solely in Natural Disaster Risk to remove double-counting. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor.
Workforce & Talent
Standard weightEmployment counts and wage rates in occupations directly relevant to building and operating data centers — electrical engineering, network engineering, electrical installation and maintenance. Source: BLS OEWS 2024.
Economic Climate
Standard weightCombined state and local sales tax rate, electricity market deregulation status, observed data center investment momentum, and any in-effect moratoriums on new construction. Sources: Tax Foundation 2025, EIA/NARUC 2024, curated DC investment data.
Permitting Friction
In progress for v1.xRegulatory burden, processing speed, and inspection complexity for the permits required to build and interconnect a large facility, drawn from the Red Tape Index. Not contributing to v1 scoring while the source data load is completed.
How we score states: the dual pipeline
Each indicator is winsorized at the 5th and 95th percentiles across the 51 jurisdictions before any normalization. This caps extreme values — a single hurricane year, for example, would otherwise dominate the outage-duration scale — without re-ranking the underlying data. Indicators where lower is better (electricity price, outage minutes, hazard score) are inverted so that 100 always means best in class.
The rank pipeline (headline) converts each winsorized indicator to a 0–100 percentile rank, combines indicators within each dimension by weighted arithmetic mean, and combines dimensions by weighted arithmetic mean to produce the 1–51 composite ordering. This is the published ranking.
The score pipeline (continuous) normalizes each winsorized indicator to a 0–100 min-max scale and combines via weighted geometric mean within and across dimensions. The geometric mean is non-compensatory by design: a state cannot trade catastrophic weakness on any dimension off against strength on another. Hyperscalers require minimum acceptable thresholds across all criteria simultaneously, not merely a high average — the score pipeline reflects that.
The two pipelines are a robustness device, not a redundancy. If both produce highly correlated state orderings, each serves as a methodological witness to the other. DCRI v1 ships with a published Spearman ρ of 0.7772, recorded in every run’s metadata. That value is below the 0.85 OECD convention; we publish it openly under a documented rationale: both pipelines agree on the top-five and bottom-five clusters across each step of the v1 build, geometric-mean aggregation is non-compensatory, and the divergence is concentrated in the mid-table where weighted composites are expected to be sensitive.
Exact numerical weights are internal to Labrynth methodology and not published. Energy Supply is the most heavily weighted dimension; other weights reflect operator priorities from Phase 1 research.
Tier classification
States are assigned to one of four tiers, recalculated on each run: Top Quartile covers ranks 1–13 — strongest overall environment for data center deployment. Above Average covers ranks 14–26 — solid fundamentals with one or two notable gaps. Below Average covers ranks 27–38 — meaningful weaknesses that warrant attention. Bottom Quartile covers ranks 39–50 — significant structural barriers.
A separate Insufficient Data tier applies to jurisdictions that fall over the two-dimension missing-data threshold. The District of Columbia is in this tier for v1 and is not assigned a 1–51 rank.
Why DC is unranked in v1
DC has null dimension scores on Water Supply because the U.S. Drought Monitor — the single indicator that v1 Water Supply is built on — does not produce classifications for the District (the Monitor’s smallest reporting unit is the state). DC also has null scores on two other dimensions where federal source data is structured around states and DC’s small geographic footprint, lack of in-state generation, and non-state administrative structure produce non-comparable inputs. Together those three null dimensions push DC over the two-dimension threshold for ranking.
Before the v1 redesign, DC was scored in Water Supply on a flood indicator alone. That flood indicator was removed in v1 because it double-counted FEMA’s National Risk Index composite. Publishing DC as “insufficient data” is the methodology-coherent outcome of that decision — better than backfilling from a structurally inferior source.
Reproducibility
Every set of published scores is linked to a run_id that records the weights file used, the git commit of the scoring notebooks, the source data vintage, and the timestamp of the run. Rerunning with the same inputs and weights produces identical scores. Score history is preserved; no published row is ever overwritten.
We test weight sensitivity by perturbing each dimension weight by ±25 percent and observing tier movement. Top Quartile states are expected to remain stable under these perturbations. Sensitivity tables are internal methodology documentation; the dual-pipeline Spearman ρ in run metadata is the published audit signal.
References
OECD/JRC (2008). Handbook on Constructing Composite Indicators: Methodology and User Guide. OECD Publishing, Paris. DOI: 10.1787/9789264043466-en.
Saisana, M., Saltelli, A., & Tarantola, S. (2005). Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis techniques as tools for the quality assessment of composite indicators. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 168(2), 307–323.
Known limitations
- ·DCRI v1 publishes a Spearman ρ of 0.7772 between the rank and score pipelines — below the OECD 0.85 convention floor. Documented openly: the top-five and bottom-five clusters are unchanged across each step of the v1 build; divergence is concentrated in the mid-table, where weighted-composite rankings are expected to be sensitive.
- ·Per-capita normalization on Natural Disaster Risk expected annual loss creates an approximately 1.25-rank fallers-side interaction artifact in small-population states under combined per-capita treatments. Documented honestly because a reader running the OECD §7.3 audit will see it; verdicts for the three per-capita indicators were reached through a formal two-screen decision protocol.
- ·Grid Reliability and Permitting Friction are not contributing to v1 scoring (source data pending). Economic Climate is partial — 1 of 3 indicators currently live.
- ·DC is reported as “insufficient data” in v1, not ranked. The U.S. Drought Monitor does not produce classifications for DC; combined with two other null dimensions, this pushes DC over the threshold for ranking.
- ·DCRI does not capture: existing campus footprint or announced-MW capacity, operator-specific cooling architecture (dry-cooled vs. evaporative), forward-looking climate projections, or sub-state variation. Northern Virginia is not separable from the rest of Virginia in v1.